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Sunday, February 15, 2009

Orlando Magic Real Player Ratings as of February 5, 2009

The Quest is proud to announce to you that the second major improvement to Real Player Ratings (RPR) in less than half a year is now fully up and running. I am now certain that RPR is the best overall rating system in existence, and that it is now roughly as good as it will ever or can ever be.

I recently developed a statistically valid way to rate the defending of players, that is, what they do to prevent scores other than rebounding, blocks, steals, and fouls, which were always included. Although the technique used had to be indirect and inexact, it validly awards the better defenders with bigger RPR bonuses. It has been validated by comparing results obtained with the defensive ratings shown on three different "advanced basketball statistics" web sites. Our results were shown to be extremely highly correlated with the results shown on the other sites. Where there are small differences, I believe mine are better, if only because mine uses simple, bedrock statistical theory rather than complicated formulas.

Dwight Howard is the most valuable Magic player in the 2008-09 regular season.

ORLANDO MAGIC
REAL PLAYER RATINGS
[QUALITY OF PLAYERS]
2008-09 Regular Season
As of Feb 5, 2009

Dwight Howard 1.061
Jameer Nelson 0.900
Rashard Lewis 0.765
Hedo Turkoglu 0.687
Mickael Pietrus 0.571
Tony Battie 0.567
Anthony Johnson 0.500
Keith Bogans 0.472
Courtney Lee 0.459
J.J. Redick 0.399

Perfect Player? Is there Such a Thing? 1.000 and more
Historic Super Star 0.950 and more
Super Star 0.850 0.949
A Star Player; An Extremely Good Starter 0.775 0.849
A Great Player; A Solid Starter 0.700 0.774
Major Role Player 0.650 0.699
Role Player 0.600 0.649
Minor Role Player 0.550 0.599
Very Minor Role Player 0.500 0.549
Poor Player at This Time 0.450 0.499
Very Poor Player at This Time 0.350 0.449
Extremely Poor Player at This Time / Disaster and less 0.349

Real Player Production (RPP) is the sum of all the good things minus the sum of all the bad things a player has done since the season began. There is no methodology as of yet for adjusting RPP for defending. Therefore, you should, in order to fairly evaluate the following ratings, remember that the better defenders have done some more for the team relative to the lessor defenders than the ratings are showing.

ORLANDO MAGIC
REAL PLAYER PRODUCTION
[QUANTITY OF PLAYERS]
2008-09 Regular Season
Through Feb. 5, 2009

Dwight Howard 1583.90
Rashard Lewis 1214.45
Jameer Nelson 1079.80
Hedo Turkoglu 1060.75
Courtney Lee 413.95
Anthony Johnson 378.25
Tony Battie 360.70
Mickael Pietrus 345.30
Keith Bogans 292.10
J.J. Redick 217.75

Congratulations and respect are due to DWIGHT HOWARD who has been leading the Magic in quality basketball so far this season. At the same time, he leads the Magic in terms of total contributions.

DWIGHT HOWARD


OTHER MAGIC STARS OF 2008-09

JAMEER NELSON


USER GUIDE
For very detailed information about how Real Player Ratings were developed and are calculated, please consult the User Guide for Real Player Rating Reports by Team.



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