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Monday, January 26, 2009

Playoff Projections as of Jan. 26 2009

The more I think about it, the more I am convinced that serious basketball fans should spend a lot more time watching and thinking about playoff games and a lot less time watching and thinking about regular season games. I think if you are a really serious fan, you should be spending some time going back and watching and thinking about last year's playoff games while the current year's regular season games are going on. I think you could easily justify spending as much as 40% to even 50% of your basketball time on playoff games while the regular season is ongoing.

Which motivates me to start issuing weekly playoff projections, from the middle of the regular season on.

PROJECTIONS AS OF JAN 27 2009
Look for Weekly Updates
EAST CONFERENCE FINAL FOUR
Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic
Detroit Pistons
WEST CONFERENCE FINAL FOUR
Los Angeles Lakers
San Antonio Spurs
New Orleans Hornets
Houston Rockets
EAST FINAL
Boston Celtics over Orlando Magic
WEST FINAL
Los Angeles Lakers over New Orleans Hornets
NBA CHAMPIONSHIP
Los Angeles Lakers over Boston Celtics 4 games to 3

Yes, it's true: I'm very worried that the Pistons won't win a playoff series. On the one hand, they are engaged in all kinds of sophisticated team management, which is gradually improving their playoff chances. On the other hand, they do have a complicated puzzle to deal with (that no one else has ever attempted to solve, I emphasize) and they do have players in relative slumps, especially Rasheed Wallace, and they, like all teams in trouble, don't seem to be able to play good offense and good defense in the same game. In the last 6 weeks, it's been mostly good defense games, but now that they have at least half solved the Iverson puzzle (degree of difficulty at least 9/10) they are suddenly playing good offense but not good defense.

I'll keep the faith for now that they will have both the good offense and the good defense when the playoffs are here, and will squeak by whoever they play in the first round, which I am thinking will be the Atlanta Hawks, and had better be them because if it's Orlando or Cleveland, then I doubt the Pistons are going to win a series after all.



BallHype: hype it up!




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